U.S. "Containment" Strategy During the Cold War
American Foreign Policy Since WWII
M. Koch
4 December 2012
Executive Applications of George Kennan's Containment Theory
Prior
to World War II, theories of foreign policy had not been fully developed to the
extent they are today. Political leaders viewed foreign policy through narrowed
lenses that only took into account the actions and attitudes of those nations that
were of immediate relevance to their own goals. After the Second World War,
however, perceptions about international relations changed substantially. The extensive fighting and the massive destruction
that ensued led leaders to realize the need to develop long term, tactical
strategies in order to ensure their state’s international security. This
newfound necessity led to the study of international theory we have today.
While
many theories about international relations have emerged, the one that has
managed to dominate U.S. foreign policy for over forty years is George Kennan’s
theory of containment. The basis for his
theory rested in the idea that all nations sought to “protect the security of
[their] nation” from all real or perceived threats that they believe other
nations impose on them (Gaddis 26). Hence, nations try to pursue two
fundamental objectives in foreign politics in order to mitigate these
vulnerabilities.
In
order to ensure protection against security threats, the first objective
requires that a state maintain the means to “pursue the development of its
internal life without serious interference, or threat of interference, from
foreign powers” (26). Secondly, a state ought to
“advance
the welfare of its people, by promoting a world order in which this nation can
make the maximum contribution to the peaceful and orderly development of other
nations and derive maximum benefit from their experiences and abilities” (26).
Kennan
believed these goals were the best means for maximizing America’s international
security, although he warned that achieving “’complete security or perfection’” is impossible, suggesting
that the quest for security is a never ending battle against evolving global
threats (26).
To
promote these objectives, Kennan advocated a multilateral approach. This would
require the U.S. to use indirect means of deterring those so called “threatening”
nations from protracting U.S. interests. This requires using militant,
economic, and psychological tactics to attain the desired end. In the interest
of avoiding the destruction produced by armed conflict, Kennan emphasized using
subversive psychological strategies to quell national threats, thereby preserving
the stability of current global power balances.
This
status quo assumption evolved from Kennan’s power balance theory of
international relations (28). He believed that since power was perpetually unequally
distributed among states, minimizing international conflict would require the activism
of “dominate” states to exert their influence on weaker states; thus ensuring
that the actions of weaker states would not challenge current power
distributions. Kennan believed that such “policing” conduct—done responsibly
and with restraint by the dominate powers—would ensure that the majority of
nations around the world would be pushed closer to accomplishing the
fundamental security objectives mentioned above.
Kennan
believed that there were five “dominate” nations in the international system
that should act as these “global policemen.” These included the major “industrial
power centers,” which he thought possessed the economic and military means necessary
to pose credible threats to other
nations. This list included the U.S., Great Britain, Germany and central
Europe, the Soviet Union, and Japan” (29). Kennan suggested that these five states ought to oversee the
interactions between weaker nations. Further, he suggested that it would serve
the vital interests of these centers to also monitor the behaviors among each
other, so as to suppress any attempts by one major power to conspire against
another industrial center. These techniques, Kennan assured, would help the
current industrial centers preserve current power balances over the long term.
Countries
not on this list were not considered prima
facie national interests, unless they allied with one of the above centers
in operations that appeared to threaten or actually intended to threaten U.S. national
security interests. Such a move would elevate the amount of concern and
attention the U.S. gives to the weaker country, perhaps even to the point of
becoming a primary national security interest. This phenomenon effectively
divided national security interests into two categories: those perceived to be
“vital” to national interests, and those perceived to be “peripheral” interests.
As we will examine later, this distinction would prove to carry major
implications for U.S. foreign policy towards communism during the Cold War.
In
light of these principles, Kennan warned that the project of containing the
spread of Soviet communism around the globe would require the immense diligence
and patience of U.S. leadership. He claimed that successful containment would
result in having induced fundamental changes to Soviet foreign policy thinking:
he saw the ultimate goal as having morphed Soviet hostility towards the U.S.
and Western democracies into a sense of tolerance for non-communist states, and
perhaps even inspire within the Soviets a willingness to cooperate with its
Western dichotomies (41).
Altering
Soviet attitudes on foreign policy would, Kennan believed, help end the Cold
War in the most tactful and economic manner possible; through drawn out,
peaceful negotiations instead of conventional or nuclear warfare.
Hence,
these principles guided Kennan’s containment strategy during the Cold War. They
were not, however, fully utilized during the Eisenhower, Kennedy, or Nixon
administrations. In varying degrees, each of these presidents modified Kennan’s
approach, according to what they believed prudent and politically necessary
under changing international conditions.
President
Eisenhower’s divergence from Kennan’s containment can be attributed to the
shifts in the global balance of power during the 1950s. I assert this because
there is little evidence suggesting that domestic politics or changes in
security dilemma balances had any influence on Eisenhower’s foreign policy,
given that a World War II American victory had spurred unprecedented prosperity
and national pride during this decade. Internationally, however, the 1950s was
a tumultuous time of recovery and political reshaping of states that had been exacerbated
by war and struggled to retain control over their colonial territories and
their political futures.
Theoretically,
Eisenhower approached containment with the same tolerance for regime diversity
as Kennan. Like Kennan, he did not necessarily equate the threat of
Soviet-style communism with communist regimes that existed outside of Russian
influence. This was mainly due to Eisenhower’s political pragmatism, as he
believed that there were economic limitations to what foreign policy actions the
U.S. could sustainably fund while maintaining global political favor. With this
view, Eisenhower felt pressured to prioritize potential threats by
conducting a “cost-benefit” analysis on each, so as to ensure that U.S.
resources were allocated in the most economically and politically efficient
manner (132-133). This method of prioritizing prevented him from trying to
contain Soviet influence in by engaging in proxy wars where he did not witness
believe there was sufficient evidence of Soviet support.
The
Korean War exemplifies Eisenhower’s foreign political prudency, as endorseed by
Kennan. While he opposed the use of proxy wars as a means of containing Soviet
influence, Eisenhower believed that the conditions surrounding the Korean
conflict necessitated U.S. intervention. He believed that Korea’s geographical
proximity to both the USSR and China posed a threat, since both shared an
interest in having Korea as another communist neighbor with whom they could trade
and align policies. But the most substantive cause for U.S. intervention was
the fact that the USSR was directly
backing the North Korean army by supplying them with arms and Soviet
military advisors (168-171).
Together,
these factors constituted a substantial security threat to Americans, as
Eisenhower feared that a communist Korea would advance the Soviet agenda to overtake
the U.S. as the world’s strongest
industrial power. Overtaking the U.S. would compromise its most vital interest
in maintaining complete and free “access to the world”—and the resources
therein—because an antagonistic Moscow would be likely to obstruct U.S. efforts
to obtain those resources (130). Hence, Eisenhower believed that the U.S. could
not afford to watch Korea, or any other state, fall under the wing of Soviet influence.
Conversely,
Eisenhower proved to share the same level of militant prudency that Kennan
advocated. This was demonstrated through his policies towards the Yugoslavian communist
dictator Josip Tito. Unlike in Korea, there was no cause for the Eisenhower
administration to believe that Tito was an adherent to Moscow’s influence, nor
any evidence to believe that he held the same intention of undermining U.S.
power as his brethren to the East (153-154). Rather, Tito’s relationship with
the USSR had repeatedly proven antagonistic. This was evidenced in Tito and Kruschev’s
failure to reach an agreement at the 1948 Cominform summit. These factors led
Eisenhower to downgrade the Croatian leader the category of “peripheral” threats:
Tito may give cause for limited concern, but not substantial enough to
necessitate U.S. action.
Unlike
Eisenhower, divergences from Kennian containment during the Kennedy and Johnson
administrations should be viewed as responding to the changing makeup of the
security dilemma between the U.S. and the Soviet Union. I believe that the escalation
of military power during their administrations prove that their main foreign
policy concerns centered on asserting the nation’s position as an
“impenetrable” force against the Soviet Union. In order to advance their
position in what they saw to be a “’zero-sum game” for power, however, it
became necessary for Kennedy and, later, Johnson, to compromise the primary
tenants of containment (210).
In
lieu of distinguishing between “peripheral” and “vital” interests, Kennedy saw
all communist factions as dire threats to U.S. interests, whether they were
actual Soviet allies or not. This motivated Kennedy to engage in the tactic of
“symmetrical response” against all perceived threats (235). This directly
opposed Kennan’s theory of distinguishing between threats and
responding as necessary, a tactic which had come to be known as “asymmentrial
response” (41).
Kennedy’s
symmetrical response policy came from his belief that the global balance of
power was not fragile, but rather was “as much a function of perceptions as of
hardware, position, or will” (200). Hence, he held that even minor shifts in
power distribution, real or perceived, “could cause chain reactions of panic to
sweep the world” (200). Because his notion of power expanded to mere perception, Kennedy’s administration
became hard-pressed to ensure that the U.S. was constantly seen as a global
exemplar of industrial and military strength. This preoccupation with being
perceived as “strong” and “resolute” led to policies that greatly increased the
number and scale of U.S. foreign military engagements, and retarded the
prospects of peaceful negotiation.
These
attitudes were exemplified when Kennedy tried to overcome the perceived “missile
gap” between Washington and Moscow. Kennedy believed it was a vital American
interest to match the nuclear capabilities of the USSR before they made
potential U.S. retaliation futile in the event of an armed conflict. In
Kennedy’s mind, closing the missile gap had multiple functions: it would maintain
current power balances, and it would induce fears of American retaliation among
vulnerable states, making them more easily deterred than they may have been
otherwise.
While
the latter function plays on Kennan’s emphasis on using psychological means to coerce
weak countries to favor U.S.-style politics, Kennan would have seen a sudden
military buildup as counterproductive to the process of transforming hostile Soviet thinking into amicable attitudes
towards the Western democracies. Containment’s repudiation for challenging current
security dilemma balances came from the doctrine’s fears that the enemy might perceive such a move as an
act of aggression, thus constituting the action as a vital national threat that
necessitates immediate suppression. Such acts would intensify the enemy’s
existing anxieties by causing them to question their trust in the enemy nation,
and ultimately propelling it to take defensive measures. Kennan believed that
these things would retard the fundamental objective: to achieve a state of
tolerance between two powerful, but ideologically antagonistic global powers.
While
Kennedy and Johnson’s foreign policies were driven mostly by external political
concerns, the Nixon administration, while its actions may have been a response
to domestic political pressures, set its objectives on rebalancing power with
the Soviet Union for the long term. By the time Nixon took office, American
opinion on its foreign policies had waned from the nationalist fervor of
Eisenhower’s administration to consensual frustration and suspicions about the
government’s ulterior motives abroad.
These
attitudes were partly the result of what Americans came to see as the arbitrary
overextension of U.S. military containment abroad. Kennedy and Johnson’s
resolve to “align American interests…with the processes of irreversible change”
had provoked a series of ad hoc policies,
whose goals and raisons de etat grew
increasingly convoluted and remote from the public interest (201). These facts
were aggravated further by Kennedy’s refusal to differentiate between
communists dangers along peripheral and vital lines, which created not only an
overall “perception of danger, but of elusiveness as well, making it
difficult to know how, or to what, to respond” (205).
It
seems as though Kennedy’s assumption of the complimentary relationship between domestic
and foreign interests was incorrect (203). Kennedy’s adherence to the political
ideology of achieving a state of global peace, one where every government was
modeled after Western democracy, led him to first ignore and then bypass the
economic and political limits that the American public had implicitly set.
This,
in the end, pushed the Nixon administration to reassess the merits of military
containment and instead begin recourse to Kennan’s psychological containment
strategies. Nixon’s primary objective was to “try to reinforce those
‘tendencies’ inclined in the direction of accommodation, and to discourage
those [tendencies] that were not” accommodating, while at the same time retract
the U.S. from those international commitments that were deemed irrelevant to
protecting America’s vital interests (289). This approach came to be known as
the “Nixon Doctrine,” and was, at its core, like Kennan’s—“an exercise in
behavior modification” (289, 302).
Nixon’s
implemented his doctrine against the Soviet Union in 1972, during the SALT I
negotiations. As Kennan would have supported, Nixon focused on pursuing
negotiation talks, in hopes of lessening antagonisms to the point where the
threat of violent conflict became nonexistent. Part of Nixon’s strategy for
accelerating these disarmament talks involved him “tacking on” contested points
to the main discussion, with the thinking that by reaching an agreement on the
main issue, Soviet leaders would be induced into accepting concessions on the
secondary issues. This has come to be known as “linkage,” and has served
several corollary functions in promoting Nixon’s version of détente containment
(290).
Kennan
would have supported linkage because not only did it deescalate the military
threat, it also offered a mechanism through which Nixon could exercise leverage
against Soviet leadership. This was done because linkage “reflected the reality
that, however diffuse and multidimensional power had become…its elements still
affected one another” (292). It reminded the Soviets that “interests and
threats, however capable of differentiation or specification, still did not
exist in discrete vacuums” (292). This contextualization was done by
“triangulating” the interests between the USSR, the U.S., and a third country
(very often, China) in such way that it amplified the costs for the USSR,
should it refuse compliance of American proposals (295).
Another
psychological advantage that linkage brought the ability to inspire anxiety by
leaving the consequences of noncompliance ambiguous. This had a profound impact
on Soviet behavior, as uncertainty about future U.S. retaliation incited fears
about being left in the least favorable conditions, both politically and
economically.
Hence, it can be said that Nixon’s foreign
policy differed from Kennedy’s (and hence accorded with Kennan’s) because he
realized the need for the U.S. to “accept the fact that conflict and disharmony
were and would continue to be inescapable characteristics of international life”
(276). As such, the key balancing global power lay in practicing “mutual
restraint” in the area of foreign policy, which, given limited economic and
political resources, would require U.S. leaders to differentiate between
“peripheral” and “vital” national interests (276). Doing this, Nixon believed,
was both economic and sufficient to advance the U.S. national
security interest of remaining the world’s strongest industrial-power center.
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